Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
One-OffTrade PolicyGeopolítica3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 71.7%
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado20/08/26, 02:12 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, the official 7-day moving average of ships through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait falls strictly below 15.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- The source is the 7-day moving average line on this page: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
- On Sunday Aug. 16, 2026, the value was 29.
- The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is a vital maritime chokepoint connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria