KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 14%Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
43 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,7 mil €
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
17/09/26, 00:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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PolymarketRegras
If federal legislation imposing an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must impose an enforceable standard requiring AI developers or deployers to take reasonable care, or equivalent precautions, to prevent or mitigate catastrophic harm from their models or systems.
- This means large-scale harm such as mass casualties, major disruption of critical infrastructure, or comparably severe economic or environmental damage; the law need not use the exact phrase "duty of care".
- Requiring a framework, audit, report, or shutdown control alone is insufficient.
- A framework qualifies only when the law makes the adequacy of the developer's precautions against catastrophic harm an enforceable obligation.
- Government enforcement or civil liability may enforce the duty.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2027 em 14% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law? é resolvido?
- When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If federal legislation imposing an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.