Probabilidade implícita atual
Labour Party 34.8%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
36.0% / 37.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 26 minutos
4/03/26, 17:511/01/31, 0:00
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Labour Party37%
Comparar plataformas· Labour party
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h
Também disponível em Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
5.7 pts3a
37.4%
31.3%
20.2%
+5 mais resultados
59 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total211,7 mil €
Volume 24h23,2 €
KALSHI
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2a
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade55 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.