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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 20:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31 9%-6.0ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
42 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 461,3
Liquiditeit
€ 1,2K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
2
7d wijziging
-6.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd24 mrt 26, 0:131 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.313021° N, 36.925497° E in Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Open markten
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 20,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 221,8K
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 301,8K
- 24u volume
- € 44,6K
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Will Russia capture Sumy by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31 op 9% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.313021° N, 36.925497° E in Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.