Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 67.5%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd25 jan 26, 21:53 UTC30 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture the city of Donetsk before the Russia-Ukraine war ends
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Russian forces establish full military control over Lyman, Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution sources
- Confirmation from: (at least 3 of these) Suriyakmaps, Kalibrated, Military Summary, DPA, AMK
- Official statements from Ukrainian/Russian military command
- Map shaded red on ISW map
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+0.5pt73%
- September 18+1.0pt69%
- September 11+5.5pt66%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 558,1K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-1.6pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt50%
- October 3128.8%
- September 30-1.0pt11.9%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 68% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria
- Waar wordt Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.