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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

2.5% (24u)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31
December 31 47%-4.0%
Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 5,9K

Liquiditeit

€ 27,2K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

22 jul 25, 21:4131 dec 26, 23:55

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
December 31
December 31
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

December 3147%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map.
  • An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify.
  • Actual control must be established.

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map.
  • An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify.
  • Actual control must be established.