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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

4.0% (24u)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31
December 31 12%-4.0%
Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 22,3K

Liquiditeit

€ 106,4K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-4.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

23 sep 25, 23:2431 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

December 3112%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify.
  • Once Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
  • If Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map.

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify.
  • Once Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
  • If Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map.