Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?
GeopolitiekOne-OffRusland / Oekraïne1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 21:13 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 55.3%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 59 minuten geleden
Vertraagd4 jun 26, 23:45 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill another country support Venezuela militarily?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Sumy by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the formal conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukraine militarily recaptures Sumy Oblast.
- For the purpose of this market, Ukraine has recaptured Sumy Oblast once Russia controls no more than 100 square kilometres of the region.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be extended as necessary.