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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

0.1% (24u)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31
December 31 6%+0.5%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

64 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 2,2K

Liquiditeit

€ 24,8K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

0.4% / 0.7%

Spread

75.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-0.7%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

5 jan 26, 21:2230 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
March 31
March 31
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

December 316%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If those areas are not simultaneously shaded red by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The relevant municipalities in Donetsk Oblast that must be simultaneously captured in their entirety are: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If those areas are not simultaneously shaded red by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The relevant municipalities in Donetsk Oblast that must be simultaneously captured in their entirety are: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.