Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
GeopolitiekOne-OffRusland / Oekraïne2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 52.1%
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83
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd8 okt 22, 14:10 UTC1 jan 27, 00:01 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Suggested resolution critera.
- This market resolves "Yes" if, according to the Institute for Study War, Ukraine is in control of any territory in Crimea.
- This market resolves "No" if, according to the Institute for Study War, Ukraine has control of 80% of either Luhansk or Donetsk Oblasts.
- This market resolves "Ambiguous" if neither happens or if there is a nuclear strike prior to either happening.
- Oct 8, 3:22pm: Will Ukraine invade Crimea before it takes back Luhansk or Donetsk? → Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
- Close date updated to 2024-01-01 12:01 am