PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenHuidige impliciete kansJa 20%+0.0%
Marktkwaliteit
80 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 24,3K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Gematigde spread7d wijziging
-1.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
29 sep 25, 22:2931 jan 27, 0:00
Trends
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes20%
Ook beschikbaar op Limitless
US recession by end of 2026?
7mnd
19.5%
80.5%
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 2,9K
24u volume€ 0
LIMITLESSRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met:
- The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q2 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
- The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point during 2025 or 2026, with the announcement made by the time the BEA releases the advance estimate for Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that advance estimates will be considered.
- For example, if upon release, the advance estimate for Q3 2025 was negative, and the Q2 2025's most recent, up-to-date estimate was also negative, this market would resolve to "Yes".
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met:
- The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q2 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
- The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point during 2025 or 2026, with the announcement made by the time the BEA releases the advance estimate for Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that advance estimates will be considered.
- For example, if upon release, the advance estimate for Q3 2025 was negative, and the Q2 2025's most recent, up-to-date estimate was also negative, this market would resolve to "Yes".