Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.3%
Voorspellers
46
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd9 okt 25, 08:02 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Business Cycle Dating Committee officially declares that a recession occurred in the U.S. at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- This includes recessions that may begin in 2026 and extend into 2027 or those that began prior to 2026 and continue into 2026.
- The market will resolve to "No" if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee does not officially declare a recession for any period that includes a portion of the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements made by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, accessible on their website: https://www.nber.org/research/business-cycle-dating/business-cycle-dating-committee-announcements.