KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansJa 40%
Marktkwaliteit
72 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 91,6
Liquiditeit
€ 32,4K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
37.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.4%
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 25 minuten geleden
24 apr 26, 19:1531 jan 28, 13:25
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes40%
Volumetrend
$1042 jul25d aan data26 jul
Macrogevoelige Assets
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Regels
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
- GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.