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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Economie
  3. Recession in 2027?
Recession in 2027?

Recession in 2027?

5.0% (24u)EconomieOne-Off1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 46%+5.0%
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0,3

Liquiditeit

€ 198,6

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

44.0% / 50.0%

Spread

13.6%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden

24 apr 26, 19:1531 jan 28, 13:25

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes46%

Regels

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
  • GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
  • The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.

Macrogevoelige Assets

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.60%XRPXRP$1.12+0.59%BNBBNB$597.16+1.90%CardanoADA$0.1652+2.63%HyperliquidHYPE$55.98+0.98%LitecoinLTC$42.68+0.50%

Regels

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
  • GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
  • The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.