Huidige impliciete kans
Ja 47%+0.1%
Marktkwaliteit
40 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
40.0% / 54.0%
Spread
35.0%
Brede spread7d wijziging
-0.5%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
10 jun 26, 16:292 okt 26, 3:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes47%
Platforms vergelijken· No
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen92% overeenkomst · auto | Hoog | 52% | +4pt | € 592,2 | € 25,6K | 13 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 PolymarketDeze pagina | Laag | 53% | +5pt | € 0 | € 3K | 13 minuten geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
1.0%2mnd
52%
-1.0%48%
91 • Hoge kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 45,9K
24u volume€ 592,2
KALSHIRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
- A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
- A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
- Partial shutdowns qualify.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$69 jul10d aan data24 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
- A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
- A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
- Partial shutdowns qualify.