KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above -8.5% of GDP 97%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
65 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 10,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 8,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
7 sep 26, 19:00 UTC20 apr 27, 12:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
France’s government budget balance in 2026
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:International Monetary Fund
- Important information: Negative values represent budget deficits.
- A higher, less-negative value represents a smaller deficit.
- For example, −4.0% is above −5.0%.
- “General government net lending/borrowing” is calculated as government revenue minus total expenditure.
- A negative value represents net borrowing, or a deficit, while a positive value represents net lending, or a surplus.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 606,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 721K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 411,2K
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- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
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- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US government budget balance in 2026?
- Kalshi prijst Above -8.5% of GDP op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US government budget balance in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- US government budget balance in 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 20 april 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US government budget balance in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.