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Feb 1 2026 100%Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
49
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-40.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
24 jan 26, 22:4629 nov 26, 22:43
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Regels
If the government is shut down for at least 1 minute on the listed date, Washington DC time, resolves yes for that date.
- Resolution will be based on whether a shutdown notice is visible on the OPM (Office of Personnel Management) site for at least part of a day.
- If a notice is visible on the OPM site for any portion of a given date, that date will resolve YES.
- Otherwise it will resolve NO.
- A shut down end will be determined by the date on which the funding package required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted.
- The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
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+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 600,3 mln.
- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 181 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 390,2K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor On which dates will the US government be shutdown??
- Manifold Markets prijst Feb 1 2026 op 100% per 4 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt On which dates will the US government be shutdown? afgewikkeld?
- On which dates will the US government be shutdown? wordt naar verwachting op 29 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt On which dates will the US government be shutdown? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the government is shut down for at least 1 minute on the listed date, Washington DC time, resolves yes for that date.