Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.9%
Voorspellers
40
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd17 feb 25, 15:43 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the USA pass legislation to leave NATO by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any country leave NATO in 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
resolves YES if the USA formally files whatever legal and diplomatic paperwork necessary to formally leave the defensive union. this will not resolve NO for an announcement of intention.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 423,4K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 95,4K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: resolves YES if the USA formally files whatever legal and diplomatic paperwork necessary to formally leave the defensive union. this will not resolve NO for an announcement of intention.