Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.7%
Voorspellers
30
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd6 jan 26, 22:37 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO in 2026?
FutuurWill USA leave NATO by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the USA pass legislation to leave NATO by EOY 2026?
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PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- As of 2026, no member state has rescinded their membership, but this market resolves YES if any NATO member country formally notifies the United States of withdrawal under Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty before December 31, 2026.
- A country must send the United States a "notice of denunciation," which the U.S. would then pass on to the other Allies, and after a one-year waiting period, the country would be out.
- The market resolves YES if such notice is formally issued during 2026, regardless of when the one-year waiting period expires.
- Resolution will be verified through official NATO announcements or statements from the withdrawing country's government.
- Considerations
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a country leave NATO this year??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a country leave NATO this year? afgewikkeld?
- Will a country leave NATO this year? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a country leave NATO this year? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria