Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Rusland / OekraïneOne-OffAIHandelsbeleidGrondstoffen2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 07:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 98%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd16 feb 26, 18:33 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,000 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of palladium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if the U.S. Department of Commerce publishes an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium imports from Russia (HTS 7110.21.0000) in the Federal Register by December 31, 2026.
- Background: On February 10, 2026, Commerce announced a preliminary antidumping determination with a 132.83% margin for the Russia-wide entity.
- For a final duty order to be issued, BOTH of the following must occur:
- Commerce final affirmative determination (expected ~April 28, 2026)
- USITC final affirmative injury determination (expected ~June-September 2026)
- ✅ Feb 10, 2026: Preliminary AD determination (132.83% rate)
