Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 22 okt 2026, 13:48 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 56.1%
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1
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 50 minuten geleden
Vertraagd28 sep 26, 20:10 UTC31 dec 26, 00:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,050 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,150 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExRegels
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary unwrought or powder palladium, HS 711021, or other primary palladium, HS 711029.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
