Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029??

Manifold Markets prijst The Gini coefficient is less than 0.60 op 92.2% per 26 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? afgewikkeld?

Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? wordt naar verwachting op 14 februari 2029 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Freddie deBoer's proposed a bet with Scott Alexander, predicting that all of these 17 conditions will be true: I'm Offering Scott Alexander a Wager About AI's Effects Over the Next Three Years.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-1.1pt93%
• 25 bps increase+1.0pt7%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 61,3 mln.

24u volume

€ 4,2 mln.

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%99%
• Above -0.1%-1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.1%-1.0pt89.5%

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+3.5pt98%
• Soft Landing-2.0pt2%
• Slack-0.3pt0%

+1 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Argentina inflation rate MoM for October

• Above 1.0%99.5%
• Above 1.2%97.5%
• Above 1.4%93.5%

POLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.3%+8.0pt46%
• 5.4%+1.0pt23%
• 5.5%-0.8pt13%

+11 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+0.5pt72.5%
• Hike–Pause–Pause20.6%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-1.5pt2%

+6 extra uitkomsten

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