Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?
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Verouderd12 apr 26, 10:08 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point during the calendar year 2026, the German federal government officially legislates or enacts a regulatory change that entirely eliminates the Einspeisevergütung (feed-in tariff) for new, small-scale photovoltaic installations.
- "Small-scale" is defined according to the thresholds established in the Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG) at the time of the potential policy change.
- If the tariff is modified, reduced, or restructured but not fully repealed for all new small-scale systems, the market will resolve to NO.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK) or the publication of amended EEG legislation in the Bundesgesetzblatt (Federal Law Gazette).
- The Einspeisevergütung is a core component of the German Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG), designed to incentivize the expansion of renewable energy by guaranteeing grid operators pay fixed rates for electricity fed into the grid.
Open markten
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 35 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria