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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

0.9% (24u)One-OffTrade PolicyPolitiekUS PoliticsChina18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 4%-0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 177,9

Liquiditeit

€ 7,1K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

3.2% / 5.4%

Spread

68.8%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-1.2%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

24 jan 26, 17:3930 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes4%

Regels

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
  • Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.

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Regels

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
  • Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.