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Other 22%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-2.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd14 okt 23, 16:24 UTC1 jan 51, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will be the next particle discovered outside the Standard Model (2022)?
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KalshiRegels
What will be the next elementary particle discovered? To count as a discovery, it must be accepted to exist by the physics community.
- Note: For this market, I am defining a WIMP as any fermion with mass that interacts via the weak force but not the strong or electromagnetic forces, isn't a neutrino, and isn't the superpartner of some already known particle.
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 226,3K
- 24u volume
- € 125,2K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 108,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be the next elementary particle discovered??
- Manifold Markets prijst Other op 22% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What will be the next elementary particle discovered? afgewikkeld?
- What will be the next elementary particle discovered? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2051 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What will be the next elementary particle discovered? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: What will be the next elementary particle discovered? To count as a discovery, it must be accepted to exist by the physics community.