KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
At least 2 94%+16.0ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
39 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 591,3
Liquiditeit
€ 3,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
13.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
2 jun 26, 14:00 UTC29 jun 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
PolymarketVesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
PolymarketWill any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?
Manifold MarketsMount Spurr significant eruption by date?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program
Open markten
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 141,1K
- 24u volume
- € 129,1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 72,2K
- 24u volume
- € 71,8K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 71,6K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Major volcano eruption in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst At least 2 op 94% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Major volcano eruption in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 29 juni 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Major volcano eruption in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.