KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before 2035 36%-24.0ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
50 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 35,1K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 minuten geleden
23 jun 26, 23:001 jan 35, 15:00
Trends
Regels
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem.
- The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples).
- Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify.
- If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Science
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.2pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 57 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,7K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-2.0pt23%
- Before 2028-2.0pt15%
- Before 2027-0.1pt5%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 31 mln.
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 177.2%
- 2+0.5pt18.8%
- 3+0.1pt2%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Totaal volume
- € 384,8K
- 24u volume
- € 2,5K
KALSHIUS grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- No92%
- Yes-2.3pt8%
- Totaal volume
- € 665,3K
- 24u volume
- € 2,3K
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-12.7pt84%
- No16%
- Totaal volume
- € 269,5K
- 24u volume
- € 1,6K
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
- Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
- Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved??
- Kalshi prijst Before 2035 op 36% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved? afgewikkeld?
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.