PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
4.4-4.6m 76%+16.4ptKoploper van 7 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
69 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 8,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.2 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
6
7d wijziging
-25.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
20 nov 25, 23:46 UTC1 okt 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026
KalshiWhich Arctic sea ice minimum thresholds will be crossed by October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsArctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2026?
Futuur(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
Manifold MarketsAntarctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2027?
FutuurWill the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
- This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
- Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.
Open markten
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 84,7K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 2028+2.0pt14%
- Before 2027-0.2pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+2.9pt88%
- Before 2030-1.0pt82%
- Before 2029-2.2pt48%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt53%
- Before 2032+9.0pt48%
- Before 2030+5.0pt44%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.6pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,9K
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt49%
- Above 1-3.0pt18%
- Above 2-8.0pt6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
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- Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer??
- Polymarket prijst 4.4-4.6m op 76% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? afgewikkeld?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.