Which Arctic sea ice minimum thresholds will be crossed by October 1, 2026?
12.0 ptn (24u)One-OffWeather22dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBelow 4.6 million km² 99%+12.0ptKoploper van 7 uitkomsten
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6
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+17.0 pts
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Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
24 aug 26, 17:28 UTC1 okt 26, 16:00 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Each answer resolves independently.
- An answer resolves YES if the National Snow and Ice Data Center records at least one qualifying daily Arctic sea-ice extent strictly below that answer's threshold.
- Otherwise it resolves NO.
- The measurement is the lowest individual daily Extent value in the NSIDC Sea Ice Index Version 4 Northern Hemisphere daily CSV for dates from December 19, 2025 through October 1, 2026, measured in millions of square kilometers.
- A value exactly equal to a threshold does not count as below it.
- Use the data available at 10:00 AM ET on October 7, 2026; later revisions are ignored.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which Arctic sea ice minimum thresholds will be crossed by October 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Below 4.6 million km² op 99% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which Arctic sea ice minimum thresholds will be crossed by October 1, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Which Arctic sea ice minimum thresholds will be crossed by October 1, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which Arctic sea ice minimum thresholds will be crossed by October 1, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Each answer resolves independently.