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  3. 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

0.1% (24u)WetenschapYearly6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 7%
Marktkwaliteit

60 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 79,3

Liquiditeit

€ 9K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

6.4% / 6.6%

Spread

3.1%

Gematigde spread
7d wijziging

-0.6%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden

8 dec 25, 23:2831 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes7%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude.