Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
EconomieOne-OffMacro & Economy3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90.8%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd30 mei 25, 20:04 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Manifold MarketsUnemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2029
KalshiMexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiUnemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.
- Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment
- Context: The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.
- 2035 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col-zQPLNstLPp
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 90,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 358,6K
- 24u volume
- € 35,8K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 548,3K
- 24u volume
- € 29,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,7K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Totaal volume
- € 310,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 91% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.