Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 71%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd15 feb 26, 23:23 UTC31 dec 34, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2034
KalshiWill US college enrollment rates increase from 2021 to 2026?
Manifold MarketsMexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiWhich EU country will have the highest unemployment rate?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.
- Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment
- The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.
- 2030 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 90,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 358,6K
- 24u volume
- € 35,8K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 548,3K
- 24u volume
- € 29,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,7K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Totaal volume
- € 310,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2034 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.