Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 68.3%
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29
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
17 feb 26, 10:27 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUnemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhich EU country will have the highest unemployment rate?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
PolymarketUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if FRED's Unemployment Rate - College Graduates - Bachelor's Degree, 20 to 24 years (CGBD2024) is higher on average from January to December 2026 (inclusive) than from January to December 2025.
- If certain months are missing, they are ignored when calculating the average.
- The averages will be calculated using the series' values whenever the first entry for 2027 is released, so revisions before this date count, but any subsequent revisions do not.
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 90,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 358,6K
- 24u volume
- € 35,8K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 548,3K
- 24u volume
- € 29,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,7K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Totaal volume
- € 310,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 68% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if FRED's Unemployment Rate - College Graduates - Bachelor's Degree, 20 to 24 years (CGBD2024) is higher on average from January to December 2026 (inclusive) than from January to December 2025.