Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 86.6%
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 48 minuten geleden
Vertraagd2 jan 26, 07:38 UTC4 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill interest in lab grown diamond stud earrings continue to grow in the US by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExRegels
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 97,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,8 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 702,5K
- 24u volume
- € 91K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 400K
- 24u volume
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,5K
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,3K
- 24u volume
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,9K
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 87% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 4 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026