Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 57.5%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd1 mei 26, 23:29 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the official annual real GDP growth rate for Mexico in the calendar year 2026 is reported as 1.4% or higher.
- It resolves to "No" otherwise.
- The primary source for resolution will be the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) via their official press releases or the Banco de México (Banxico).
- Specifically, the market will resolve based on the final annual growth figure for 2026 as reported in early 2027.
- If preliminary data is used, the market will resolve once the annual growth estimate is finalized by these institutions.
Open markten
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 97,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,9 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 702,6K
- 24u volume
- € 89,3K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+7.0pt73%
- September Meeting+10.5pt64%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt79.2%
- No-5.0pt20.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 7,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 43,1K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 400,1K
- 24u volume
- € 34,3K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.0pt44.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+7.0pt28.3%
- 0 (0 bps)-5.5pt17%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 58% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria