Huidige impliciete kans
Pause–Pause–Pause 64.7%-7.0ptKoploper van 9 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
81 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 12,8K
Liquiditeit
€ 70,3K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadComments
0
7d wijziging
+11.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
29 apr 26, 23:5616 sep 26, 0:00
Trends
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Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 36,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,1 mln.
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
- 1 (259.9%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 138,6K
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed Decision in December?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
- Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)?
- Polymarket prijst Pause–Pause–Pause op 65% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) afgewikkeld?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) wordt naar verwachting op 16 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.