KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans2.1% to 2.5% 24%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
56 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0,6
Liquiditeit
€ 157,8K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
23.9% / 26.0%
Spread
8.8%
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
14 jan 26, 15:0028 feb 27, 13:29
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
2.1% to 2.5%24%
Volumetrend
$0.632 jul24d aan data26 jul
Macrogevoelige Assets
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[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSActief in deze onderwerpen
Regels
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.