KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
2.1% to 2.5% 15%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
46 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 53,4
Liquiditeit
€ 14,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
8 jun 26, 20:00 UTC28 feb 28, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
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KalshiRegels
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “the named outcome” includes 6.1%, and “the named outcome” includes 0.0%.
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 97,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,8 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 702,5K
- 24u volume
- € 91K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 400K
- 24u volume
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,5K
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,3K
- 24u volume
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,9K
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US real GDP growth in 2027??
- Kalshi prijst 2.1% to 2.5% op 15% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US real GDP growth in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- US real GDP growth in 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 28 februari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US real GDP growth in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.