KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
2.1% to 2.5% 10%-10.0ptKoploper van 14 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
50 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 5,7
Liquiditeit
€ 6,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
28 jul 26, 00:00 UTC28 feb 33, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2033?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiWho will win the presidency in 2028 and will average annual Real GDP growth be MORE or LESS than 2.8% during their term?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiRegels
If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2032.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2032 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2032 GDP in early 2033.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 266,4K
- 24u volume
- € 76,4K
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+1.0pt92%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 93,1K
- 24u volume
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 157,7K
- 24u volume
- € 35,3K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes-1.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 12,3K
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt90.1%
- Yes-2.0pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 12,1K
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%+1.0pt98%
- Above 2.3%+5.0pt86%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- CPI core in September
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US real GDP growth in 2032??
- Kalshi prijst 2.1% to 2.5% op 10% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US real GDP growth in 2032? afgewikkeld?
- US real GDP growth in 2032? wordt naar verwachting op 28 februari 2033 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US real GDP growth in 2032? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.