KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 0.0% 94%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
31 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
10.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
28 jul 26, 17:00 UTC28 jan 27, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 323,8K
- 24u volume
- € 25,3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 523K
- 24u volume
- € 22K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 611,8K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,5K
- 24u volume
- € 10,5K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 7,7K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US real GDP growth in Q4 2026??
- Kalshi prijst Above 0.0% op 94% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US real GDP growth in Q4 2026? afgewikkeld?
- US real GDP growth in Q4 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 28 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US real GDP growth in Q4 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.