KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 0.0% 84%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
31 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,7
Liquiditeit
€ 2,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
10.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
28 jul 26, 18:30 UTC29 apr 27, 12:29 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q2 2027?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExRegels
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2027, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 90,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,3 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 358,5K
- 24u volume
- € 35,6K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 554,3K
- 24u volume
- € 33,8K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Totaal volume
- € 314,7K
- 24u volume
- € 11K
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,7K
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 76K
- 24u volume
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US real GDP growth in Q1 2027??
- Kalshi prijst Above 0.0% op 84% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? afgewikkeld?
- US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 29 april 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.