Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 86%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd1 mei 25, 20:47 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US be at full employment in December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work?
Manifold MarketsWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 170,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExRegels
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a federal law or regulation in effect in 2026 that mandates employment or work-related activities as a condition for Medicaid eligibility for able-bodied adults without dependents.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such federal requirement is in effect by that date.
- Medicaid is a joint federal and state program providing health coverage to low-income individuals.
- Historically, eligibility has been based primarily on income, without federal work requirements.
- However, there have been periodic efforts to introduce work requirements:
Open markten
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 91 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 569,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 359,2K
- 24u volume
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 16,4K
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Totaal volume
- € 314,7K
- 24u volume
- € 9,5K
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 86% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria: