Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 64.3%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd19 jun 26, 15:10 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US 2026 full year inflation (CPI) [20X]
Manifold MarketsADP employment change in Nov 2026?
KalshiADP employment change in Oct 2026?
KalshiMedicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -382,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -482,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegels
Full employment is when job openings exceed the number unemployed
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1J90z
- [link preview]
Open markten
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 130,4K
- 24u volume
- € 51K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 17,9K
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 16,9K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44K
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt89%
- No11%
- Totaal volume
- € 893,7K
- 24u volume
- € 8,6K
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the US be at full employment in December 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 64% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the US be at full employment in December 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the US be at full employment in December 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the US be at full employment in December 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Full employment is when job openings exceed the number unemployed