Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 75.2%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd29 jun 26, 04:11 UTC4 dec 26, 13:25 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.
- Use the headline establishment-survey change in total nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted.
- A value of +150,000 or higher resolves YES.
- A value of +149,000 or lower resolves NO.
- Negative values resolve NO.
- Do not use the unemployment rate, household-survey employment, labor-force participation, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, private-payrolls-only, sector payrolls, state payrolls, forecast consensus, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial November 2026 release before resolution.
Open markten
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 323,8K
- 24u volume
- € 25,3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 523K
- 24u volume
- € 22K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Totaal volume
- € 22,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,4K
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? afgewikkeld?
- Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? wordt naar verwachting op 4 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.