KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2031 75%-7.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 322,7
Liquiditeit
€ 4,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
23 jul 26, 17:00 UTC1 jan 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsKevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketRegels
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.5%
- No change43.6%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 74,3K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.8%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt45.8%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 40,8K
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 61,2K
- 24u volume
- € 21,5K
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase67.3%
- No change30.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 1, 2031 op 75% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? afgewikkeld?
- Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.