KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 14 nov 2026, 04:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Middenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Before Jan 1, 2031 · —
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Opgeslagen prijs
Before Jan 1, 2031 78.5%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Before Jan 1, 2031 78.5%Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Open interest
US$ 5,2K
Gemiddelde open interestBied / Laat
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2031Spread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 29 minuten geleden
22 jul 26, 15:35 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Before Jan 1, 2031
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference?
KalshiWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsKevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regels per uitkomst
- Before Jan 1, 2031
- If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Warsh out as Fed Chair by…? · June 30, 2027 6%
