KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansBefore Jan 1, 2030 9%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 2,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
22 jul 26, 15:351 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Before Jan 1, 20272%
Platforms vergelijken· Before Jan 1, 2030
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen86% overeenkomst · auto | Gemiddeld | 9% | — | € 25,4 | € 23,5K | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| KalshiDeze pagina | Laag | 9% | — | € 0 | € 2,8K | 15 minuten geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Warsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
5mnd
9%
5%
59 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 4,5K
24u volume€ 25,4
POLYMARKETRegels
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$2522 jul6d aan data27 jul
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If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.