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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Fed
  3. Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

FedOne-OffPolitiekUS Politics6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Before 2027
Before 2027 13%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 1,7K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

13.0% / 15.0%

Spread

15.4%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

12 jan 26, 15:001 jan 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Before 202713%

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

1.4%6mnd
December 31
December 31
-0.5%22%
June 30
June 30
-1.4%4%
44 • Lage kwaliteitBrede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 14,3K
24u volume€ 37,8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
  • The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
  • This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

Macrogevoelige Assets

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Regels

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
  • The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
  • This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.