Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
0.7 ptn (24u)FedOne-OffPolitiekUS Politics3mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 95%
Marktkwaliteit
63 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 20,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
6.3% / 12.0%
Spread
5.7 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
12 jan 26, 15:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
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If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:CNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCC-SPANofficial transcripts from Congressional hearingsthe White HouseJerome Powellthe Office of Management and Budgetthe Department of Justicethe Federal RegisterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBS
- A "try to fire" includes **any** of the following:
- - The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; - Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; - Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; - The White House officially announces termination; - Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; - Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do **NOT** qualify:
- - Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; - Expressions of dissatisfaction; - Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; - Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; - Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; - Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Open markten
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 35 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
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- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor??
- Kalshi prijst No op 95% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.