PredictItVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione non verificatiRetail prediction exchange
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo di domanda
-
Volume 24h
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
14 set 26, 17:53 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
100%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
KalshiWill the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?
KalshiAI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Manifold MarketsWhen will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
KalshiWill the House pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on September 14, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, the House of Representatives passes H. R. 9917 or another bill with a short title containing the phrase "Kill Switch" and relating to the regulation of artificial intelligence.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.3pt93%
- Yes+2.3pt7%
- Volume totale
- 18,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 549,7K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt27.8%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+12.0pt25.8%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt13.4%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+0.5pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+47.0pt95%
- Before Sep 1, 2027-5.0pt58%
- Before April 1, 2027+1.0pt48%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt82%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-1.0pt96%
+26 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 12,1K €
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Senate passes Clarity Act by which date?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026??
- PredictIt quota No al 100% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026??
- Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026??
- PredictIt liquida questo mercato come segue: This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on September 14, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, the House of Representatives passes H. R. 9917 or another bill with a short title containing the phrase "Kill Switch" and relating to the regulation of artificial intelligence.<br /><br />PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.<br /><br />End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)