KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 22%-4.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
124,1 €
Liquidità
31K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
24 giu 26, 19:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill the House pass a reconciliation bill by Sept. 30?
PredictItWhen will a reconciliation bill become law?
KalshiWill the House pass any articles of impeachment by the end of 2026?
PredictItWill the House pass additional defense funding?
KalshiRegole
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…"
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before September 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before October 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before November 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the House pass a reconciliation bill??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 22% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the House pass a reconciliation bill??
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will the House pass a reconciliation bill??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a reconciliation bill passes the House before August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.