KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2028 26%In testa tra 3 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2028 26%Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
750,5 USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
17 set 26, 00:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2028
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026?
PredictItWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
KalshiAI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Manifold MarketsWhen will a US government AI run overtake private AI compute by FLOP?
Manifold MarketsWill Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must expressly authorize the U.S. government to initiate the shutdown, suspension, or technical disabling of an operating AI model or system to address safety or security risks or loss of control. The government may act directly or compel a developer, operator, or service provider to carry out the shutdown, including through a court order. A company-controlled kill switch alone does not qualify. Neither does authority limited to blocking future development or release, or a general power to regulate AI without authority to stop an operating system. The government need not own or physically operate the shutdown mechanism, and the authority need not be used before the deadline. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is the AI Kill Switch Act (H.R. 9917).
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
