PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 21%-11.5%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
609,6 €
Liquidità
7,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
36.4%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
29 gen 26, 3:4331 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
December 3121%
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KALSHI
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.0728° N, 36.5235° E in Havrylivka by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.