PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No change 35%-1.0ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
52,4 €
Liquidità
6,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
14 set 26, 22:16 UTC18 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Russia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar (https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Russia resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Mercati aperti
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 949,9K €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-2.0pt40.2%
- 340–354+3.5pt27.4%
- 310–324-0.3pt17.6%
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.3pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.3pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Dopropillia86%
- Druzkhivka49%
- Kramatorsk21%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 993,4K €
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Yes-3.5pt61%
- No+3.5pt39%
- Volume totale
- 409,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 36,9K €
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
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- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Bank of Russia decision in October?
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Bank of Russia decision in December??
- Polymarket quota No change al 35% al 18 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Bank of Russia decision in December??
- Bank of Russia decision in December? dovrebbe risolversi il 18 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Bank of Russia decision in December??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.